(Tax) Assessment Values Well Below Market Values

(Tax) Assessment Values Well Below Market Values

  • 03/2/20
Question: The County significantly increased the assessment value of my home this year, should I appeal it?
 
Answer: It’s that time of year again…time for homeowners to find out they’ll be paying more in real estate taxes this year due to an increase in the assessed value of their homes. Arlington increased the assessed value of residential real estate by an average of 4.3%, which is less than the 6.3% increase in average sold price in 2019 and much less than the 8.9% increase in median sold price.
 
Tax assessments are based on the sum of the County’s determination of the value of the land your home sits on and the value of the improvements made to that land (your home). The County adjusts each of these values every year to generate the total assessed value, of which Arlington homeowners pay about 1% each year to the County in real estate taxes.
 
Based on conversations I’ve had with homeowners around the County, it sounds like most of the increase in assessments this year was driven by increases in the land value, which makes sense.
 
 

Assessed Value vs Market Value

While it is frustrating to see your assessment increase so much, costing homeowners an average of a few hundred dollars in additional tax payments, it’s highly unlikely you’re in a position to challenge your assessment. Over the last 14 months, the County’s assessed value was an average of 14.2% below what homes sold for.
 
Here’s a breakdown of how the County’s assessment compared to actual sold prices since 2019, broken out by zip code, property type, and price range. Here are some highlights from the data:
 
  • If the County’s assessment matched actual market values, homeowners would pay an average of about $800 more per year in taxes

  • Unsurprisingly, the zip codes with the greatest difference between market values and assessed values were all three South Arlington zip codes (22202, 22204, 22206), with homes in 22202 (home to Amazon HQ2) selling for nearly 20% more than the County’s assessment

  • The County has the most difficult time assessing home values in 22205 compared to other zip codes and, unsurprisingly, detached homes compared to condos or townhouses

  • Residents who own homes worth over $1M benefited the most from the County’s low assessments, with market values nearly 19% higher than their tax assessment, resulting in an average annual savings of about $1,900 if the County’s assessments were on par with market values
 
Zip Code Avg Sold $ to Assessment $ StdDev Sold $ to Assessment $ Avg Difference Sold $ vs Assessment $
22201
12.3%
8.7%
$71,412
22202
19.7%
15.9%
$108,083
22203
13.1%
10.7%
$72,268
22204
15.4%
13.7%
$62,933
22205
15.4%
19.3%
$126,150
22206
18.1%
11.9%
$71,783
22207
11.1%
14.4%
$106,188
22209
10.7%
8.8%
$57,149
22213
10.4%
9.7%
$40,016
Arlington
14.2%
13.0%
$79,434
 
Property Type
Avg Sold $ to Assessment $
StdDev Sold $ to Assessment $
Avg Difference Sold $ vs Assessment $
Condo
13.9%
10.6%
$50,659
Detached
14.0%
17.0%
$118,925
Townhouse
15.0%
9.9%
$81,220
All
14.2%
13.0%
$79,434
 
Price Range
Avg Sold $ to Assessment $
Avg Difference Sold $ vs Assessment $
<$1M
13.3%
$58,720
$1M+
18.6%
$187,718
Total
14.2%
$79,434
 
As reported by ARLnow last week, the County will not increase the tax rate (percentage of assessment homeowners pay in annual taxes) and may still decide to reduce the tax rate to offset increased assessments. The hope for many homeowners is that as commercial vacancy rates drop from historic highs over the past decade, the increased tax revenue from businesses will allow the County to ease the tax burden on homeowners by reducing the residential real estate tax rate.
 
As always, if you are considering buying, selling, or investing in Arlington/Northern VA real estate, feel free to email me at [email protected] if you’d like to discuss your strategy and/or current market trends.
 

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