Question: How did Arlington’s detached single-family market perform in 2025?
The Headline: Arlington’s detached single-family (DSF) home prices were mostly flat in 2025, following a sharp rise in 2024, and the market moved at its slowest pace in more than five years.
Dig Deeper
The average and median price of Arlington’s DSF market was flat for the first time in more than ten years. Let’s dig in:
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The average price of a DSF home decreased by 0.1% to $1,462,000, median price increased by 0.4% to $1,300,000, and the average $/SF decreased by 0.3% to $531
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The average price of a newly built home increased by 4.5% to $2,508,000
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Over the past five years, Arlington’s DSF homes appreciated roughly 20%
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29% sold above the asking price, a sharp drop from the 41% average over the previous four years
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Buyers negotiated an average of 1.5% off the original asking price, but buyers who purchased a home within the first ten days on market paid an average of 2.4% over asking price. Buyers who purchased a home after the first ten days on market negotiated an average of 6.1% below the original asking price.
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54% of homes sold within the first ten days on market
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The number of DSF homes sold in Arlington increased for the first time since 2021
In: $2M+ Homes, Out: $1M Homes
Nearly one in five DSF homes sold for at least $2,000,000 and the percentage of homes that sold for $800k-$1.2M fell to 32%, from 35% in 2024 and 44% in 2021.
According to the chart below, is Arlington’s real “Missing Middle” homes that are worth $1.6M-$2M? (joking)
All Zip Codes Over $1M
For the first time, all Arlington zip codes exceeded an average price of $1,000,000 (excluding 22206 and 22209, due to low supply); 22204 finally cracked the $1M mark.
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22205 was the most in-demand zip code (again), with buyers paying closest to the original asking price (just 0.2% below) and the most homes selling in the first ten days (57%)
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The average price fell in five of seven zip codes, with the only year-over-year increase coming from 22201 (up 10%) and 22204 (up 4%). In 2024, 22201 was the only zip code with a price drop.
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Over the past five years, 22213 has appreciated the most (31%) and 22202 has appreciated the least (12%)
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The largest homes and lots, and the lowest $/SF (best value), are found in 22213. The smallest homes are in 22203, and the smallest lots and highest $/SF are in 22201.
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22204 is the only zip code with an average cost per bedroom below $300,000 ($282k per BR) and 22201 is the only zip code where bedrooms exceed $400,000 each ($442k per BR)
That’s A Lot of Cash
For a third year in a row, roughly one in four DSF homes was purchased with all cash.
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The average price of a home bought with all cash was $1,428,000
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Cash buyers fared slightly worse in negotiations than other buyers, paying 0.1% more relative to the original asking price than the market average
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$274,000,000 was spent in 2025 on DSF homes that were purchased using all cash
How I Use the Data
The data used above looks at Arlington’s detached single-family (DSF) homes recorded in the MLS (Realtors’ database of record). While most real estate data you’ll see is based on the year/month a home sale closes, I prefer to use the year/month a home goes under contract because it gives an accurate picture of market conditions at the time a deal was agreed to (most homes close 1-2 months after going under contract).
Looking Ahead: More of the Same
I expect 2026 data to look like 2025, with prices mostly flat, ~50% of homes selling within ten days, limited negotiation leverage for buyers, and less than one-third of homes selling over asking.
Keep in mind, this is a full year forecast. What we’re experiencing in the market right now (through the spring) is higher pricing, faster paced sales, less buyer negotiation leverage, and more homes selling over asking. That won’t last all year and should start to taper off around Memorial Day Weekend.
If you’d like to discuss buying, selling, investing, or renting, don’t hesitate to reach out to me at [email protected].
We have access to the most pre and off-market listings across the DMV of any brokerage and are happy to share what’s available with anybody who asks.
Below are some of our team’s pre/off-market listings, details and additional listings available by request:
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Rosslyn – 2BR/2BA/1,800sqft – Condo (2021) – 1781 N Pierce St Arlington VA 22209
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Rosslyn – 3BR/2.5BA/2,400sqft – Condo (1986) – 1530 Key Blvd Arlington VA 22209
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Ballston – 4BR/3.5BA/2,400sqft – Townhouse (2008) – N George Mason Dr Arlington VA 22203
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Ballston – 4BR/3.5BA+office/4,000 sqft – Four Townhouses (2026/2027) – 11th St N Arlington VA 22201
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Arlington Heights – 5BR/5.5BA/5,000 sqft – Detached Single Family (2026) – South Highland St Arlington VA 22204
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Williamsburg – 6BR/5.5BA/5,500 sqft – Detached Single Family (2026) – 27th St N Arlington VA 22207
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Yorktown – 6BR/6.5BA/6,000+ sqft – Detached Single Family (2026) – N Greencastle St Arlington VA 22207
