$2,000,000 Isn’t What It Used To Be

$2,000,000 Isn’t What It Used To Be

  • 11/23/20
Question: Is it just me or have there been a lot more $2,000,000+ homes for sale this year than in the past?
 
Answer: The $2,000,000 mark used to represent a significant resistance point for homes in Arlington, reserved only for the best-of-the-best and difficult to sell, but we’ve seen a surge of $2,000,000+ homes for sale in Arlington this year and demand to absorb it.
 
One of the more interesting differences between Arlington’s real estate market and other expensive markets is that while a huge percentage of our homes sell for over $1M, we have very few homes that sell over $3M (link to previous article). For some context, there have been 82 single-family homes listed for sale for $2M-$3M in Arlington in 2020, but just 19 listed for sale/sold since 2010 for over $3M (four of them are currently for sale).
 
Below is a chart showing the number of single-family homes sold that were listed for $2M-$3M since 2010. 2020 also includes homes currently for sale or under contract that are listed for $2M-$3M (and we still have 5 weeks left in the year for more homes to be listed).
 
 
Here are some interesting details about the $2M-$3M single-family home price point:
 
  • The average sold price to original asking price from 2015-2019 was nearly identical, ranging from 94.1%-94.7%, but this year that average shot up to 96.5%. Also, from 2015-2019, the average days on market was 93 days, but in 2020 it dropped to 58 days. Both of these changes indicate a much stronger appetite from buyers for $2M+ homes.

  • Since 2010, 92.3% of homes were/are located in the 22201 (20.1%) and 22207 (70.2%) zip codes.

  • I was surprised that only about half of the sales are new construction. I would have expected new construction to make up a much higher percentage of these high-price sales.

  • Prior to 2019, a $2M+ home usually meant at least 1/3 of an acre, but in 2020 it brings an average of just ¼ of an acre.

  • Bedroom/Bathroom count has remained pretty consistent over the years, with an average of 5-6 bedrooms, five full bathrooms, and one half bathrooms.

  • If you’d like to click through the $2M-$3M single-family homes since 2010, here’s a link!
If you’re as curious as I was about what the chart for $1M-$1.999M single-family homes looks like, it’s quite different. Enjoy!
 
 
If you’d like to discuss buying or selling strategies, don’t hesitate to reach out to me at [email protected].

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